Wednesday, April 8, 2015

living wage part III regulations

A lot of times the opponents of regulatory reform appear to hold the view that the regulatory process involves climbing the top of Mount Rushmore where they fast and pray until Teddy Roosevelt, Woodrow Wilson, and FDR write the new code on a stone tablet that is delivered by a bald eagle and can never be altered lest the nation faces plagues and famines of epic proportions and we should never question them.
While this is a bit of a joke the fact remains that the opponents of regulatory reform- argue there is no problem with how regulations are written, claim line of the code will pass a cost risk analysis and seem to believe business might lose money if they hurt their customers.
First the regulatory agencies that enforce the regulations and benefit from a larger code are the same people writing the code. The basic process goes as following they propose a regulation, have a hearing where different people comment- some times people with in the industry the regulation will affect will come out in favor as they believe it will eliminate competitors then finally the agency implement the regulation. The fact this happens was shown quite clearly when Mitt Romany said we need regulations to prevent people from opening banks in their garage.
As regulations are the law of the land this violates the constitution which requires that congress make the laws and for the president to sign or veto them and creates a conflict of interest as the more an agency regulates the easier it will be for them to request more money from congress. Right now the first step to fixing this problem is the REINS act which would require congress to vote on a regulation if it is expected to cost more than $100 million.
There might be good arguments for some regulations- but just because those exist does not mean every regulation falls into those categories so we need to remove some regulations.
so we have the cost of existing regulation- and the ways they hurt the average consumer.
The first way is by making it harder to enter a field- this could be done by limiting licenses, fees, or by limiting how a company could distribute their product.
A few examples of the last are the fact there are laws in some states that prevent car companies from owning their own dealership, next we have regulations that prevent a new cable company from opening up in your town.
There are also some regulations in 36 states called Certificate of needs laws which basically state that in order to open a new clinic or hospital you would need to get the permission of existing health care facilities. The argument given for the CON laws is that limiting the supply of health care options will some how decrease prices by eliminating duplication. While economics 101 states that restricting supply of anything leads to higher prices.
No matter what level of government has imposed these regulations- you need to ask what is the real problem if someone tried to run a particular industry from their house? If they risk blowing up the neighborhood there might be some logic be hind that. If the business is just loud and bothers the neighbors that is fine- but if your argument for a regulation banning someone from selling home made cookies is the possibilities of food poisoning- that is a little harder to accept because in improperly sanitized industrial kitchen will result in you being as sick as an improperly cleaned home kitchen.
Bernie Madoff ran his scam from a push office
and there are people running small banks and savings and loans in Europe from offices that barely above their garage.
like his documentary the bank of Dave show or RT report show. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fIGZOe-Oa0

Next there are regulations which limit growth- the regulations with small business exemptions will often fall into this category. People argue the exemptions need to exist because specific regulation is expensive and only a company with 50 employees would have the money to afford it. This creates the situation where a company with 49 employees will not hire employ number 50- unless they know they can cover the cost which the big business in a field won’t have to worry about small fast growing innovative companies from challenging them. So if you honestly think a regulation is to expensive for a small company- then you need to explain why it isn't to expensive for the consumers and if you honestly think a company that grosses $1 billion dollars should not do some thing then why is it fine for 1000 companies that gross $1 million to do the same thing?
Then there are regulations designed to counter the negative effects of older regulations which we see with net neutrality- supporters point to the regional cable monopolies to say we need it instead of going after the regulations which created the monopolies in the first place.
The benefits of deregulation might even show up on one of the favorite memes in support of raising the minimum wage- the one that claims Australia has a minimum wage of $14 US and the unemployment rate is about the same as ours.
In the 1980’s and 1990’s the Australians and New Zealanders did tax and regulatory reform-and the country did not fall apart so bad that Mad Max is a documentary and they aren't dropping dead left and right due to air and water pollution down under.
The goal of regulatory reform should be sliming the code down so the rules are the same for every company in a field and to eliminate the parts of the code where the costs out weigh the benefits.
So if $14 in Australia bought roughly what it does in the US and the unemployment rate uses the same calculation methods that the US does- then you should consider that this is because the tax and regulatory reform freed up enough cash to enable companies to pay $14- and as I stated before if you can make a profit starting people at $15 and charging today’s prices then the same process could bring down prices and given the choice I would rather see prices drop and wages stay the same over seeing wages increase and prices staying the same as the first will help savings go farther.

Sadly there a lot of politicians and economists who would rather have the higher wages which leads to the next topic monetary reforms.  

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Living wage part II-Tax reforms and subsidies



I am discussing these two in the same entry as a lot of subsidies come in the form of tax credits. First let’s talk about tax reform by starting with the poster boys Warren Buffet and Mitt Romney.
A lot of people will claim tax reform will only benefit the rich- however Warren Buffet claims he pays a lower tax rate than his secretary
The tax issue is one of the reasons I can’t stand Warren Buffett- he goes on TV screaming his taxes are to low and asking for the “Buffett Rule” while in private he seems to believe the real Buffet rule- is “if you are Warren buffet you don’t pay taxes http://nypost.com/2011/08/29/warren-buffett-hypocrite/.”
I digress- the two of them both have such low tax rates because they are able to structure their business in such a way to avoid as taxes as best as they can. I don’t blame someone for wanting to do that so my biggest issue with Mitt was the fact when he had a chance to address the issue- he avoided details and seemed to quite ignorant on the subject.
He was proposing to reduce loopholes and and deductions and lowering the right. When Obama claimed that this had never been done before- Mitt could have- stated that both JFK and Ronald Reagan did that.
I consider this to be the bare minimum that needs to be done with tax reform ideally we should go farther- and adopt something a long the lines of a flat tax or sales tax.
Examining the pros and cons of those tax proposals is beyond the scope of this post- as this is about why it needs to be done.
The first issue when discussing tax return is simplicity- I don’t care if some one like Warren Buffet or Mitt Romany- only pay 10% in taxes but I do care how they get that rate and this is the first failing of our current tax system. The amount of loopholes, credits and deductions- the argument for the lot is to shape behavior and some are designed to favor certain industries- which is the case with the green energy and renewable fuel mandates.
Subsidies no matter what their form is- are designed to give a boost to economic activities that would otherwise be unprofitable or less profitable.
Let's take the green energy mandates- the stated goal is to make America carbon neutral by encouraging bio-fuel, wind and solar power with subsidies.
A person's choice to buy any of these products should be based completely on their advantages and disadvantages compared to the alternative and not a government subsidy or tax credit. Some time the reason their supporters give in congress is terrifying for example this lobbyist stating one of the goals of the ethonal mandate is to increase the price of corn- then he tries to argue it does not effect people because it was feed corn and not sweet corn.
If the price of corn were to drop- then perhaps you might be able to cut the budget for food stamps- by making it so fewer people will qualify. I could hear some people screaming this might harm the US farm industry- but if the bottom falls out of the corn market- perhaps farmers will change crops
or may be some one will find away to make corn based bio-fuel profitable. I don't know what is possible- but I do know when the economics side is market driven- people will save money some how.
This might be cheap food, cheap fuel or ideally both.
The next area to simplify the tax system is removing the progressivity. The main arguments for a progressive tax system are the ideas- that the rich benefit proportionality more from the government than other people and the idea the government should be redistributing income with out thinking that policies like a fiat currency and low interest rates are leading to inequality, or asking the question do people drop in and out of income brackets or the negative effects of catering to envy- like reduced investment, reduced savings, both of which can lead to reduced employment or the possibility that increased taxes might just lead to increased prices.
The charts that show a growing income inequality tend to claim that this trend has existed since the 1970’s- they will normally blame taxes and come out to support a tax system that did not exist back then- perhaps there are other issues could be causing the situation as I fail to see how this complex tax code helps the poor or how taxing someone else more would help me either as I expect them to pass the cost of their higher tax rates to everyone else